This simulation has a 0.0023% chance to turn on the switch. Pretty simple to do, but amazing how fast chances can stack on eachother making things less and less propable!
hemadeit
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Comments
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james177, that is correct. That is the technical minimum according to the stats, but it could do it when you start, or it could just never do it.
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Oh really luke, I guess I did my math wrong! Thanks for letting me know!
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It's even less likely than what the post says. If each individual MERC particle has a 1/3 chance, and if there are 144 particles, the whole thing has a 1 in 3^144 chance, which is 1 in 5.07e+68.
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i did the 0.04 percent chance thingy.
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oh wait it's 432, i didn't see the calculation
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correct me if i'm wrong
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if it's 0.0023% chance, it means i will need to wait 23,000 sparks to turn on the switch?
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An interesting concept that has to do with compound propability.